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2009年羅馬尼亞水泥增長將停滯(中英文)

放大字體  縮小字體 發(fā)布日期:2009-03-06  來源:中國混凝土網(wǎng)翻譯  作者:鄭丹
核心提示:2009年羅馬尼亞水泥增長將停滯(中英文)
  2009年羅馬尼亞水泥市場將處于停滯狀態(tài)。羅馬尼亞水泥及礦物制品聯(lián)合會(huì)主席Mihai Rohan表示,由于缺乏流動(dòng)資金和籌集資金困難,將對(duì)消費(fèi)產(chǎn)生重要影響。據(jù)羅馬尼亞水泥及礦物制品聯(lián)合會(huì)表示,2008年整體水泥生產(chǎn)量是1070.3萬噸,比2007年上升了6.4%。2008年國內(nèi)水泥運(yùn)送量是1058.8萬噸,比2007年上升了6.4%。而水泥消費(fèi)量在2005年是人均292公斤、在2006年是人均362公斤、在2007年是人均461公斤、在2008年達(dá)到人均516公斤。

  身為Carpatcement控股總經(jīng)理的Mihai Rohan說:“雖然去年水泥工業(yè)持續(xù)有所增長,但是其僅僅6.4%的增長率比起2007年24%的創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的增長率來說,還是下降了很多。水泥消費(fèi)量增長了12%。2009年我們將看到水泥市場處于停滯?!?

  在短期內(nèi),由于住房市場的停滯,將導(dǎo)致水泥生產(chǎn)的明顯減少。開發(fā)商將致力于完成已開始項(xiàng)目,只有當(dāng)真正的而不是潛在的客戶出現(xiàn)時(shí)新項(xiàng)目才會(huì)開始。羅馬尼亞水泥及礦物制品聯(lián)合會(huì)主席認(rèn)為,基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和農(nóng)工業(yè)工程將繼續(xù)是建材行業(yè)重要的發(fā)展動(dòng)力,但是如果無法獲得歐洲提供的資金,仍將面臨資金周轉(zhuǎn)問題。但也有估計(jì)表明2009年將比2008年增長0.2%。

  至于水泥銷售價(jià)格,Mihai Rohan說,將由成本和需求與供給在特定時(shí)期的關(guān)系決定。生產(chǎn)成本的改變,比如原料、能源、燃料、運(yùn)輸,和財(cái)政產(chǎn)生的影響,如匯率對(duì)于價(jià)格的重大影響。Carpatcement控股總經(jīng)理說:“比起2007年的公布價(jià)格,2008年增長了10—15%。2008年我們沒有提高價(jià)格?!?

  2008年由于生產(chǎn)、銷售和營銷費(fèi)用的增加,以及列伊對(duì)歐元匯率的改變,還有對(duì)羅馬尼亞經(jīng)濟(jì)中不同工業(yè)和市場的關(guān)鍵影響,導(dǎo)致水泥價(jià)格有所上漲。今年水泥市場的發(fā)展將取決于羅馬尼亞國民經(jīng)濟(jì)總體的發(fā)展。其中羅馬尼亞經(jīng)濟(jì)和新政府對(duì)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項(xiàng)目的預(yù)算政策將起到重要作用。羅馬尼亞水泥市場主要有三大主導(dǎo)水泥生產(chǎn)商:法國拉法基,德國海德堡水泥和瑞士豪西蒙。

  附英文:

Cement market in Romania will stagnate in 2009
The cement market in Romania will stagnate in 2009, because the lack of liquidities and difficult access to financing will have an important impact on consumption, the president of CIROM, Mihai Rohan said.Last year the overall cement production was of 10,703,000 tons, on the rise by 6.4% against 2007, according to CIROM. Domestic deliveries were of 10,588,000 tons in 2008, 8.6% higher than in 2007. In 2005 the cement consumption was 292 kg/capita, in 2006 362 kg/capita, in 2007 461 kg/capita and in 2008 it reached 516 kg/capita.

“Last year the cement industry continued a rising rate but the increase was more reduced. While in 2007 the cement production registere d a record increase of 24% in 2008 the growth was only 6.4%. The cement consumption grew by 12%. In 2009 we will witness a stagnation in the cement market,” said Mihai Rohan, the general director of Carpatcement Holding.

On the short term, there will be an activity reduction because of the stagnation of the residential sector. Developers will concentrate on the completion of already begun projects while new projects will begin only when real not potential clients are found. The president of CIROM considers that infrastructure and agro-industrial works will continue to be important engines for the building material industry but there could be liquidity problems if European funds cannot be accessed. However there are estimates indicating a 0.2% increase in 2009 against 2008.

As for the cement sales price, Rohan said it was determined by costs and the report between demand and offer at a certain moment. The evolution of production costs, such as raw materials, energy, fuel, transport and resulting financial influences like the exchange rate will have a significant impact on prices. “Compared to 2007 list prices of 2008 grew by 10-15% . In 2008 we did not increase list prices,” said the director of Carpatcement Holding.

Cement price rises in 2008 were determined by the evolution of production, sales and marketing costs, of the leu/euro expchange rate and the crisis effects on different industries and markets in the Romanian economy. The evolution of the cement market this year will depend on the evolution of the national economy in general. An important role is held by the Romanian economic and budget policy of the new government about infrastructure projects. The local cement market is dominated by three large producers: Lafarge (France), Heidelberg Cement (Germany) and Holcim (Switzerland)
 
 
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